As last month’s House Price Report showed, the average asking price in South
County Dublin, which peaked at €680,000, has fallen over 30%. By comparison, asking prices in South-East Leinster have
fallen just 18%. It is easy to think why prices at the top end of the market have fallen more than prices in cheaper areas: while
the boom fuelled house prices everywhere, the very top end of the market saw the biggest excesses.
In economic terms, the lower the house price bracket, the more prices are driven by affordability, i.e. determined by
fundamental criteria such as average wages and interest rates. The higher the price bracket, the more prices are driven by
confidence, i.e. determined by ‘future expected value’, what the buyer thinks the property will be worth when it is sold again.