I stumbled across an interesting article comparing the present economic difficulties in both California and Ireland.According to the author both locations have seen extraordinary rises in home prices turn to massive busts. As a result, both areas have seen depression-like collapses in consumer demand and the local economy. Unemployment and government deficits are surging in both California and Ireland. But, both California and Ireland have zero control over monetary policy and this is the crucial connection.The problem is the impossible combination of a fixed exchange rate, independent monetary policy and free movement of capital. You cannot have all three. And California and Ireland both lack the monetary escape hatch. Depression will set in.
The author offers three bleak options in order to get out of this mess.A bailout, a back door currency similar to the IOUs being issued in California.If such devises are commonly accepted for payments, it maybe be possible to reduce borroring costs and reduce the need for some bond issuances.Finally, the author concludes that mass emigration will be necessary as the jobs move elsewhere.
Depressionary bust in Ireland is echoed in California - Credit Writedowns



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