According to an article in The Times yesterday, the UK government is completely underestimating the pension liabilities of pensions for public sector workers such as nurses,teachers and the police
Cost of public sector pensions estimated at £1.2 trillion The article estimates that these future pension payments are worth £20,000 per head in today's money,which is roughly £80,000 for a family of four.
Public sector pensions are on pay-as-you-go. By contrast,private sector plans that provide final salary pensions must invest enough to cover future payments to pensioners,the level of cash infusions being set by pension actuaries.
In Ireland,if we are following the UK approach,the pensions bill may be approaching €100,000 per family. It may take a Brazilian style hyperinflation of hundreds of percents to pay those pensions if they are still indexed to public sector wages twenty five years hence. By then,there will be far fewer workers to carry each public sector pensioner from their pay packets, barring a massive increase in immigration. Maybe half or more of the labour force would need to be non-Irish to make pension payments affordable without gouging the economy. Would Irish people be willing to accept such a level of immigration which would create a multicultural society like,say,California's?
It's time the government faced up to the enormous future public sector pension costs being piled up on future workers. It should start now by abolishing the link of pension payments to public sector pay for existing civil servants and by a switch to defined contribution plans like those in the private sector for all new public sector recruits.