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Thread: Exchequer may be running out of willing creditors

  1. #11
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    Quote Originally Posted by cavok View Post
    Me! or Clowen?
    The Electorate?
    If the banks are out for a bail,
    and Lenny's efforts end up as a fail,
    when the Somer does come,
    to the Country they'll run,
    And leave a Fine mess for the Gael.

    Endinf the one Party (FF) state:

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  2. #12
    Politics.ie Member Digout's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by cavok View Post
    Me! or Clowen?
    Clowen of course...He does not care about the country. All that matters to Clowen is keeping his rich friends rich.

  3. #13
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    Quote Originally Posted by Outlander View Post
    Aren't there some bonds maturing this month which will have to be rolled over?

    I suspect we'll really be rolled then.
    reminds me of the old joke..

    How would you 'tap' harney?

    roll her in flour and tap the wet patch...

    roll over, sweet baby jesus, I am off to my potato plot.

    I think I will have to erect fencing and a Night hut...

  4. #14
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    Here the results from the bidding today from NTMA:
    NTMA - Government Bonds - 2009 Auction Results
    The bid to cover ratio was only 1.1 on the 2018 bond!


    And they are going again Thursday for another circa €1.5billion.
    http://www.ntma.ie/Publications/2009...ent23Apr09.pdf

  5. #15
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    Quote Originally Posted by Digout View Post
    Clowen of course...He does not care about the country. All that matters to Clowen is keeping his rich friends rich.
    the irish bog man ego, tis a dangerous t'ing

    'im de taoiseach'

    'what would a lad in S+P know about politics in Ireland?'

    sweet baby jebus!

  6. #16
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    Quote Originally Posted by TradCat View Post
    If deflation in Ireland hits 4% as was suggested in the budget then the effective rate is nearer 10%

    That is a nightmare scenario.
    What really sets the interest rates on any bond is the inflation rate over the bonds life and the risk of default. Now with deflation at 4% it clearly shows that the default risk is the main concern.

    German bunds have a default risk as well. However comparing both eliminates the effect of inflation to show the greater chance of Ireland defaulting. I would say there is a good risk of Germany defaulting.

    I would say there is a certainty of Ireland defaulting. Buyers of these bonds today will lose money imo.

  7. #17
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    Quote Originally Posted by youngdan View Post
    What really sets the interest rates on any bond is the inflation rate over the bonds life and the risk of default. Now with deflation at 4% it clearly shows that the default risk is the main concern.

    German bunds have a default risk as well. However comparing both eliminates the effect of inflation to show the greater chance of Ireland defaulting. I would say there is a good risk of Germany defaulting.

    I would say there is a certainty of Ireland defaulting. Buyers of these bonds today will lose money imo.

    what inclines you to think DE are at a good risk of DEF?

    curious...

  8. #18
    Politics.ie Member Digout's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by kerrynorth View Post

    And they are going again Thursday for another circa €1.5billion.
    http://www.ntma.ie/Publications/2009...ent23Apr09.pdf
    IMF during the summer?

  9. #19
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    The announcement of the bills next Thursday takes the biscuit. One is for just about 40 days. They are just limping to get to Lisbon in October but they won't make it

  10. #20
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    Quote Originally Posted by youngdan View Post
    The announcement of the bills next Thursday takes the biscuit. One is for just about 40 days. They are just limping to get to Lisbon in October but they won't make it
    When you think it will burst? July?

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