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Thread: IMF: Britain will be last to recover

  1. #1
    Politics.ie Regular Ramon21's Avatar
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    IMF: Britain will be last to recover

    Gotta love this, great blow to the british euro-sceptics.


    Britain’s economy is set to keep shrinking well into next year, even after all or most of its leading competitors have begun to enjoy renewed growth, the International Monetary Fund will warn this week.

    In a severe blow to Gordon Brown’s hopes for an economic revival to take hold by Christmas, the IMF will predict that the UK economy will shrink in 2010 by a further 0.2 per cent.

    The IMF is expected to project that while Britain’s GDP will keep falling over 2010 as a whole, the US economy will grow by 0.2 per cent, the 16-nation eurozone will eke out modest gains of 0.1 per cent, and the Group of Seven (G7) leading industrial economies will, as a whole, also grow by 0.2 per cent. The leaked forecast showed that Japan’s economy expected to stagnate during next year.
    Still, even as the investor consensus ravages the euro, it's worth remembering that the same herd instinct not long ago was pronouncing last rites for the dollar. Last year, as China's central bank chief called for a new global currency and Russian central bankers dumped greenbacks to buy euros, many saw the dollar's decline as inevitable. Now, the dollar is riding high, and the euro looks bedraggled.

    "Views might change very quickly"

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    Politics.ie Regular Ramon21's Avatar
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    cnbc: European Central Bank helped europe tackle it's economic problems.
    Still, even as the investor consensus ravages the euro, it's worth remembering that the same herd instinct not long ago was pronouncing last rites for the dollar. Last year, as China's central bank chief called for a new global currency and Russian central bankers dumped greenbacks to buy euros, many saw the dollar's decline as inevitable. Now, the dollar is riding high, and the euro looks bedraggled.

    "Views might change very quickly"

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    Source linkage? Not really a big surprise though.

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    Politics.ie Regular TradCat's Avatar
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    So American and Europe will both recover by perusing completely different policies and Britain won't because it used the same policy as the US and not Europe. I think there is an agenda at play here which is to get the Brits into the eurozone.

    It seems far too early to be calling the recovery.

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    Politics.ie Regular Ramon21's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by TradCat View Post
    So American and Europe will both recover by perusing completely different policies and Britain won't because it used the same policy as the US and not Europe. I think there is an agenda at play here which is to get the Brits into the eurozone.

    It seems far too early to be calling the recovery.
    European mainland economies are based upon the wealth-creating manufacture of goods for export. The UK's 15-year boom was based upon the uncontrolled borrowing and spending of money which has still to be earned.
    So it's no play, no nothing, britain is ********************ed!
    And you can't compare britain with america, at all!
    Still, even as the investor consensus ravages the euro, it's worth remembering that the same herd instinct not long ago was pronouncing last rites for the dollar. Last year, as China's central bank chief called for a new global currency and Russian central bankers dumped greenbacks to buy euros, many saw the dollar's decline as inevitable. Now, the dollar is riding high, and the euro looks bedraggled.

    "Views might change very quickly"

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    Quote Originally Posted by Ramon21 View Post
    European mainland economies are based upon the wealth-creating manufacture of goods for export. The UK's 15-year boom was based upon the uncontrolled borrowing and spending of money which has still to be earned.
    So it's no play, no nothing, britain is ********************ed!
    And you can't compare britain with america, at all!
    But more tragically is that the Labour party sought to create a more balanced society but used borrowed money to do so.

    Rather than taking on the vested class interests in Britiain and saying you can enjoy your great wealth and privelige but you'll have to pay your fair share they said enjoy whay you have we are borrowing our way into a fair sustainable society.

    You cant create a sustainable economy on the cheap.

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    Given that they bought half of our agricultural exports and 15% of our industrial exports in 2007 this is hardly good news.

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    Quote Originally Posted by YellowRedGreen View Post
    Given that they bought half of our agricultural exports and 15% of our industrial exports in 2007 this is hardly good news.
    Exactly what I was thinking

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    Politics.ie Member 142857's Avatar
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    In my personal opinion, absolutely useless information. The nature of this crisis is that the IMF are getting every quarterly prediction wrong... Their prediction for 2010? Useless.

    The crisis has barely started and Britain is fubar'd, but we don't have a clue who the last to recover will be.

    Applying statistical predictions to a completely unknown paradigm change = fail.

    Also I'm very disturbed by the opening line of the thread. I don't "love this" at all. Millions of people are going to seriously suffer. It's f*cking tragic.

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    Politics.ie Regular Ramon21's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 142857 View Post
    In my personal opinion, absolutely useless information. The nature of this crisis is that the IMF are getting every quarterly prediction wrong... Their prediction for 2010? Useless.

    The crisis has barely started and Britain is fubar'd, but we don't have a clue who the last to recover will be.

    Applying statistical predictions to a completely unknown paradigm change = fail.

    Also I'm very disturbed by the opening line of the thread. I don't "love this" at all. Millions of people are going to seriously suffer. It's f*cking tragic.
    Yea I was a bit harsh, just putting a hack on those sceptics.
    saying that we were so stupid to join the euro.
    We showed them didn't we!
    Still, even as the investor consensus ravages the euro, it's worth remembering that the same herd instinct not long ago was pronouncing last rites for the dollar. Last year, as China's central bank chief called for a new global currency and Russian central bankers dumped greenbacks to buy euros, many saw the dollar's decline as inevitable. Now, the dollar is riding high, and the euro looks bedraggled.

    "Views might change very quickly"

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