Bloomberg.com: U.K. & Ireland
Feb. 18 (Bloomberg) -- Germany and France may be forced to contemplate the bailout of entire nations rather than just individual banks as European government budgets buckle under the weight of recession.“When push comes to shove Germany, France, the larger players will bail out those smaller peripheral players,” said Alex Allen, chief investment officer of Eddington Capital Management. “You can’t let one part of the system fail because it leads to failure of the whole system.”
Allen’s betting that the risk at least one nation will leave the bloc is higher than the market currently expects.Any state-funded rescues may meet with opposition from the ECB, which has repeatedly said the Maastricht Treaty forbids bailouts.
“The no bailout rule is an important pillar on which the European Union was founded,” says Stark, who helped draw up the fiscal rules underpinning the euro.At the same time, the treaty says that EU nations can grant financial assistance to a member state if a country is “threatened with severe difficulties” caused by “exceptional occurrences beyond its control.”The article generally suggests that the Euro group will not allow a member to default. The sting for us may be in the comment from Mr. Trichet - how close are we to working towards "sustainable public finances"? Indeed considering the mounting toll of banking scandals, how close are we to sustainable private finances?For now, finance officials say that market concerns are not justified. ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said in Rome on Feb. 14 he’s confident countries will work towards sustainable public finances.
There may be hope for us - the EU may come to the rescue - but only if we show willing and clean up our act.



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