January figures are due out at 4.30pm. The SBP stated at the weekend that it will be down to circa 4billion from 4.6billion last year. The budget figures, which the government themselves now accept are a joke, forecasted tax revenues of 41billion for 2009. I am estimating 35billion if there are no further tax changes.
Uniquely the Dept of Finance have not published the monthly revenue and expenditure profile prior to the January returns. This is ominous as it tells me that the Dept have given up on forecasting having made muppets of themselves in successive years and as well as effectively admitting that they have no idea what is happening with the economy.
Update @ 16.33 - Down from 4.6billion to 3.7billion!!! See here.



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