Teachers and nurses can be expected to engage in industrial action to protest proposals for increased pension contributions. The chance of such action succeeding is nil,as the government can't risk losing its access to the bond market,the elephant in the room. The bond market is needed to fund about a third of government spending this year.
Industrial action in the public sector probably will be disruptive but manageable. If it becomes too disruptive,the government will have to sack workers who disobey legislation to return to work. Very few public sector workers would be prepared to lose their extremely well paid and generally cushy jobs and gold plated pensions.
As for tax increases as a solution to public finances,in a deepening recession they could cause a depression.



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