I know there are a few threads regarding the removal of the universal medical card from over-70's, and some might argue that there is no need for another one.. but I'm hoping that this one will get past the hysterical reaction, the hyperbole and the ideology.. and focus on the actual economics of the decision..
It's just that something has been nagging me over the weekend regarding the monetary figures and projected savings...
Ok, here's my point ..
When this was announced, the Government claimed that we were dealing with 140,000 over-70 medical card holders.. and that the changes would realise 100million in savings...
The breakdown for the changes were then announced
(a) 15,000 people were to remain in the scheme as it was currently
(b) 85,000 would lose the full medical card, but would go to the doctor only medical card
(c) 25,000 would lose both cards, but would be entitled to a 400 euro grant in lieu of the medical cards
(d) 15,000 people would lose all current benefits
This would presumably realise 100 million in savings, with 85% i.e. 85 million, being clawed back from the GP's...
ok
(a) no savings at all
(b) doctors visits remain free, so no savings from doctors
(c) doctors are currently being paid 640.. will now be paid 400. Savings of 240 per patient ... 25,000 * 240 = 6 million
(d) full saving to State
So.. looking at those figures.. assuming that 85 million is expected to be saved from doctors... and so far only 6 million in savings is already guarenteed... the remaining 79 million savings from the GP's would have to be spread across the final 15,000 patients who lose all benefits..
This means that the Government are claiming that they will be making a saving of 5266.66 per patient... which is impossible... because for only 640 per patient, they would be getting free access to the doctor
So, the figures simply do not make sense on any economic level... there simply cannot be savings of 85 million from doctors on these figures..
In fact, if you calculated that whole 140,000 pensioners, at 640 per patient, you only pay 89.6 million. So how can leaving 15,000 on the card make a saving when it will still cost 9.6 million.
The only other thing in my head.. is that while the Government are blaming the removal on this scheme on the doctors.. they know that they will not make savings from the scheme off the doctors... where they will make the savings from the scheme.. is off the prescription medicine payments
This scheme is about removing medicine.. not GP visits..
The figures make no other sense otherwise



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