Joseph Schumpeter,the Austrian economist,colourfully noted "capitalism's waves of creative destruction",the Darwinian process in which weak and uncompetitive firms and even whole industries are wiped out. This destruction usually reaches its heights in recessions. It is creative in that elimination of weak firms through competitive market pressures makes room for more efficient firms to take over the markets vacated by the weak firms,enabling greater economies of scale and cost efficiencies. It is a very unpleasant experience,as Ireland learned in the 1980s. At times,the economic destruction can be so great as to threaten economic collapse but this has the advantage of concentrating the minds of governments,businesses and workers on their economic survival.
Today,Ireland's experience of the credit crunch and weak export markets have started a new bout of creative destruction. Likely candidates for destruction include financially burdened property developers,house builders and building supply companies,expensive restaurants,pubs,at least one of the expensive franchised grocery chains,possibly a bank or two and labour intensive unionised businesses.
As for the latter,with the breakdown in social partnership,Irish unions have said they will demand wages greater than inflation even though in our principal export markets,such as the US and Britain,wage increases are less than inflation. Such wage demands would only amplify creative destruction in the export dependant economy of the private sector,promptly putting unionised workers out of work. The private sector unions would quickly find themselves mugged by economic reality.
In the public sector, unions will have to realise that the ATM wage increase machine has broken down,since government deficit spending is limited to 3% by Brussels. The government may even be forced to introduce redundancies for the public sector. Alternatively,it could postpone programmes for needed infrastructure and other essential spending for the long term future in order to fund generous pay increases. However,if it did that,it would be hooted out of office by the media and business for gross neglect of the national interest,while the unions' wage grab would be seen as looting the treasury.



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