
Originally Posted by
hopi watcher

Originally Posted by
patslatt

Originally Posted by
NotDevsSon

Originally Posted by
patslatt
Joseph Schumpeter,the Austrian economist,colourfully noted "capitalism's waves of creative destruction",the Darwinian process in which weak and uncompetitive firms and even whole industries are wiped out. This destruction usually reaches its heights in recessions. It is creative in that elimination of weak firms through competitive market pressures makes room for more efficient firms to take over the markets vacated by the weak firms,enabling greater economies of scale and cost efficiencies. It is a very unpleasant experience,as Ireland learned in the 1980s. At times,the economic destruction can be so great as to threaten economic collapse but this has the advantage of concentrating the minds of governments,businesses and workers on their economic survival.
Today,Ireland's experience of the credit crunch and weak export markets have started a new bout of creative destruction. Likely candidates for destruction include financially burdened property developers,house builders and building supply companies,expensive restaurants,pubs,at least one of the expensive franchised grocery chains,possibly a bank or two and labour intensive unionised businesses.
As for the latter,with the breakdown in social partnership,Irish unions have said they will demand wages greater than inflation even though in our principal export markets,such as the US and Britain,wage increases are less than inflation. Such wage demands would only amplify creative destruction in the export dependant economy of the private sector,promptly putting unionised workers out of work. The private sector unions would quickly find themselves mugged by economic reality.
In the public sector, unions will have to realise that the ATM wage increase machine has broken down,since government deficit spending is limited to 3% by Brussels. The government may even be forced to introduce redundancies for the public sector. Alternatively,it could postpone programmes for needed infrastructure and other essential spending for the long term future in order to fund generous pay increases. However,if it did that,it would be hooted out of office by the media and business for gross neglect of the national interest,while the unions' wage grab would be seen as looting the treasury.
1. They have said they could accept LESS than the rate of inflation, as David Begg explained yesterday on This Week.
2. Your definition of "generous wage increases" to ordinary people is the money they need to pay their rent/mortgage, and live. What do you suggest people do? Starve? Not pay their rent/mortgage and sleep on the streets? Run their car on air? Your supposed 'generous' wage increases are simply the amount of money they need to make ends meet. For a low paid worker (and BTW most public sector workers are low paid. The cr*p about averaging it out and saying the entire public sector is mathematical nonsense, as well you know) not getting the rate of inflation is simply not an option. That pay increase won't get them new cars or fancy holidays. It will simply allow them to pay their bills. Or do you suggest public sector workers go into shops and ask to pay lower prices for things on the basis that they are a public sector employee.

I don't think the unions in general will bargain for less than inflation,witness the aggressive demands of the banks' union in an industry that could collapse if bank share prices are an indicator.
As for pay increases,your perspective is that of a Celtic Tiger cub who doesn't realise there are business cycles and recessions.
The top economic priority is restore the competitiveness of our costs which are the highest in the EU. That has to mean a modest cut in pay in real terms given the spike in energy and raw materials costs. If pay rises to cover the cost spike,our cost increases will simply drive up unemployment. Better to keep your job on 97% of your salary than go on the dole.
Any chance that you enter the real world and address the questions raised in the post you are supposed to be replying to? How are people on the current minimum wage going to keep warm this coming winter? Bread and butter is the issue now thanks to the squandering of the recent boom in wealth creation much of which is now sitting in off shore bank accounts belonging to 'non-resident nationals'
How did they keep warm in the 1970s oil price spike when minimum wages were far lower?
Of course,since then,living standards have risen and some necessities have become more expensive,especially housing, thanks to a lack of planning for high densities.
A lot of the costs pressures on today's wage earners are self inflicted interest costs associated with massive personal credit card debt and mortgages on overpriced properties. In the cases of those who default because they haven't money to pay those debts,the financial system will have to accomodate them by reducing the debts to what they can pay or,in a minority of cases, the mortgage companies will repossess the houses at a loss. This will be painful debt restructuring but people who borrow heavily,or recklessly, should have been aware of the risks.
Without a penalty for taking on excessive risk,banks and consumers alike would behave like punters in a casino,leading eventually to economic collapse. As the economist Keynes said,when the operations of a banking system become like a casino,the result is likely to be dire.
Housing costs are a major hardship for many low income people. It's time the government demanded that the councils zone substantial high density housing to make it affordable to low and moderate income people. Dublin City Council should be forced to scrap its very big average flat size for new developments of 915 square feet,which will drive costs,prices and rents up by about a whopping 40%. Does the Council want to reserve living in the city for the top 10% or so of the income grouping?
As for minimum wages,raising them would be self defeating if it put people out of work in the weak economy,although it would benefit those who keet their jobs. The government should conduct a detailed study of the tradeoff between unemployment and minimum wage increases before an increase in minimum wages,if any. Aside from putting people out of work,a minimum wage set too high makes it hard for young people to get on the jobs ladder and gain experience. They may start out with McJobs where they learn workplace discipline,which usually enables them to go on from there to bigger and better things.
Finally,the government needs to freeze its stealth taxes on all those government services that disproportionately affect low income people. It has been pushing hard on stealth taxes for ten years now and needs to give it a rest.