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Thread: March retail sales down -2.1% yoy

  1. #1
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    March retail sales down -2.1% yoy

    And down -1.8% on February. This is a major deterioration from the -0.1% recorded for February yoy. Retailers are selling 2.1% less goods by volume this March than March 07. Motor trades appear to be the taking the biggest hit.

  2. #2
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    Re: March retail sales down -2.1% yoy

    Quote Originally Posted by kerrynorth
    And down -1.8% on February. This is a major deterioration from the -0.1% recorded for February yoy. Retailers are selling 2.1% less goods by volume this March than March 07. Motor trades appear to be the taking the biggest hit.

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    Re: March retail sales down -2.1% yoy

    If they're down -2.1% does that mean that they're up 2.1%?
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  4. #4
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    Re: March retail sales down -2.1% yoy

    If new car sales are excluded, the volume of retail sales was up 1.2% year-on-year in March and up 2.1% year-on-year in Q1. These are much higher increases than most Eurozone countries are seeing (in France and Germany the volume of retail sales was down year-on-year). Normally, of course, new car sales should not be excluded. But, this year new car sales are distorted by the fact that 70% of new cars are going to see large price reductions on 1st July. Therefore, I'd expect new cars sales to show large falls year-on-year in April, May and June, which is bound to affect the overall retail sales volume figures in those months. In July new car sales should increase year-on-year. So, this year we won't know the true picture regarding retail sales until a couple of months after 1st July, when the distorting effect of the price changes has worked its way through.

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