The boom just keeps going on and on.
CSO figures just out show the volume of retail sales up 6.8% in September 2007 compared with September 2006. In the third quarter of 2007 they were up 6.5% compared with the third quarter of 2006. And in the first nine months of 2007 they were up 7.1% compared with the first nine months of 2006. Previously the doommongers told us that retail sales would collapse after the end of the SSIA in May. Wrong again!
Earlier this month CSO figures showed manufacturing output up 9.0% in the third quarter of 2007 compared with the third quarter of 2006. So, combining this figure with the retail sales increase of 6.5% in the third quarter means we can confidently predict that year-on-year GDP growth in the third quarter of 2007 will be very similar to that of the first half of 2007 when it showed a 6.7% increase. Watch out in the next few weeks for all the economists to be sharply revising up their forecasts for GDP growth in 2007. All those economists and posters on P.ie who predicted earlier in the year that we'd be in recession by the autumn and that year-on-year growth in the second half of 2007 would fall to 1% now look utterly ridiculous. It wasn't a year of two halves after all.



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