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Thread: Rogoff: greater than 50/50 chance of further IMF programs within the EU-15

  1. #1
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    Rogoff: greater than 50/50 chance of further IMF programs within the EU-15

    story here; here's a taster

    "It’s more likely than not that we’ll need an IMF program in at least one more country in the euro area over the next two to three years,” Rogoff, a former IMF chief economist who has co-authored studies of financial and sovereign debt crises, said in a telephone interview. “The budget cuts needed in Europe in many countries are profound.”
    [COLOR=#0000ff]Portuguese[/COLOR], Spanish and Irish bond yields jumped last week as investors questioned their ability to reduce budget deficits and avoid Greece’s fate. Greece on April 23 triggered a 45 billion-euro ($60 billion) rescue package from the IMF and the euro region after its soaring deficit sent borrowing costs surging and sparked concern about a default.
    At 14.3 percent of gross domestic product, Ireland had the euro region’s largest deficit last year. Greece’s was 13.6 percent, Spain’s was 11.2 percent and Portugal’s 9.4 percent."

    that really will be a corner turned .

    Watch the spreads folks! Personally I don't know how we have managed to fly under the market's radar thus far.
    “'retail deposit flight, I don't see that as a great danger. Ireland is an island” - Brian Lenihan - to hundreds of international investors

  2. #2
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    footnote; our CDS spreads just breached 200 bips

    that's about a one-third increase in a couple of weeks

    all aboard the contagion express
    “'retail deposit flight, I don't see that as a great danger. Ireland is an island” - Brian Lenihan - to hundreds of international investors

  3. #3
    MPB
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    Quote Originally Posted by HarshBuzz View Post
    story here; here's a taster

    "It’s more likely than not that we’ll need an IMF program in at least one more country in the euro area over the next two to three years,” Rogoff, a former IMF chief economist who has co-authored studies of financial and sovereign debt crises, said in a telephone interview. “The budget cuts needed in Europe in many countries are profound.”
    [COLOR=#0000ff]Portuguese[/COLOR], Spanish and Irish bond yields jumped last week as investors questioned their ability to reduce budget deficits and avoid Greece’s fate. Greece on April 23 triggered a 45 billion-euro ($60 billion) rescue package from the IMF and the euro region after its soaring deficit sent borrowing costs surging and sparked concern about a default.
    At 14.3 percent of gross domestic product, Ireland had the euro region’s largest deficit last year. Greece’s was 13.6 percent, Spain’s was 11.2 percent and Portugal’s 9.4 percent."

    that really will be a corner turned .

    Watch the spreads folks! Personally I don't know how we have managed to fly under the market's radar thus far.
    This months tax reciepts will be interesting.

  4. #4
    Politics.ie Regular cozzy121's Avatar
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    Bertie's true legacy to the Irish Nation.
    Make sure you tell your children about him, and maybe get them to tell theirs...
    "WAKE UP! THE RICH ARE RAPING YOU!"
    To view links or images in signatures your post count must be 10 or greater. You currently have 0 posts.

  5. #5
    Politics.ie Regular Cassandra Syndrome's Avatar
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    They can all Rog off....
    "No one rules if no one obeys" - Tao

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