
Originally Posted by
rockofcashel
Ah Tony, you are disappointing me now. You make a glib remark at the outset of the thread, and when you are called on it, you make another glib remark. So being called on it again, you then transfer the explanation to me, to cover your tracks.
So, just to amuse you, let me explain it to you in simple terms.
A poster here wondered about the amount of debt in Ireland and how it was a problem for the economy (which it is), so you tried to belittle his argument by claiming that there are assets to back up the debt.
However, my contention is, that the asset values, if realised are now much lower in many cases, the so called negative equity, than the level of debt which this asset was secured by.
Let me explain it to you in simple terms..
Person A had a bought a house for 300k...
asset worth-300k
debt liability-300k
12 months later, assuming 25% fall in asset value
asset worth-225k
debt liability-290k
No problem while Person A remains able to service debt. Negative equity doesn't matter a whit.
However, should Person A now be unable to service debt.. lets call him Mr Carroll for exemplary purpoes...
then bank liability is now 65k.. or possibly even worse
Because is Mr Carroll has no choice but to walk away from the debt altogether, then banks liability is the 290k.. because that is what is still owed.. and, if bank decides that 20,000 Mr Carrolls can't pay, and they try to realise all debts outstanding, they are likely to drive the market price of Mr Carroll asset down even further (supply and demand, economics 101 as the Yanks say)
Now, to counter this, you talk about the national asset wealth worth.. i.e. the lots and lots of people who don't owe money and have assets worth a lot more than their liabilities... fair enough, I accept that
But, lets call one of those people Mr Tonic, who has a net asset value of 500k
Will he pay Mr Carrolls debt for him ?
Nope.. so bank is still in serious trouble with debt, no matter how much Mr Tonic has in positive asset value
Do you kind of understand me now ?