
Originally Posted by
Conor
What would you see as best-case scenario?
It's waaay too late for the best case scenario, which was that the fruits of the boom over the last 15 years should have been used to
plan for the future. I realise this radical concept melts the brains of our political class, but still.
We got the massive wave of FDI in in the mid-to-late-90s. Yes, very good. Kickstarted the economy. Once a critical mass of global-trading FDI in an industry was in place, there should have been a determined and concerted effort to build indiginous firms which took the experience and technology gained by the people working in the foreign firms and
improved on it. You know, like what the Japanese did throughout the 70s and 80s. Creating real Irish firms with an actual real competitive advantage, creating products and providing services that other countries actually wanted to buy.
Allowing a situation to develop where 90% of our exports are produced by FDI firms is a shocking abandonment of all prudence. It is, in fact, an act of national vandalism.
We could easily have been focusing efforts on green technology - renewable energy, biofuels, clean production processes, organic agriculture.....again, R&D creating Irish firms with innovative products and technology patents that other countries want to buy/licence. We could have spent the last 10 years building at least some level of energy independence and security - instead we are utterly dependent on oil imports in an increasingly unstable world.
We should have spent some of the wave of cash flowing into the public coffers to tackle our antiquated and ludicrously inefficient public sector. Instead we just threw billions upon billions at broken systems. We pissed it up against the wall, basically. Now we're stuck with a bloated, inefficient, costly public sector at the end of the boom. Genius.
We should have taken action to get real infrastructure -including public transport - in place in a cost effective manner. We've wasted billions on a couple of decent roads and the LUAS - other countries would have done
much better with the huge amount we've spent on infrastructure. Part of this should have been a clear, coherent, concerted effort towards real regional development, avoiding the whole
stupid "Dublin begins in Cavan" scenario we now "enjoy". Our corrupt planning system should have been overhauled. We should have built up, with coherent joined-up development plans creating sustainable communities, not endless sprawling amenity-free suburban ghettoes.
Had the Bacon reports been implemented with a will, had the Central Bank been awake, had the financial regulator been reeling in the banks from toxic lending practices, had anyone in charge had any appreciation that joining the euro meant interest rates here for the last 6 years were
dangerously low for a booming economy, and that therefore measures were necessary - nay,
vital - to reduce excess liquidity...then the housing bubble would
never have happened in the first place. It's too late now, that bubble has popped.
Inaction, lack of vision, lack of planning, incompetence, waste, corruption, stupidity....an awful, awful Government of liars, crooks, chancers and clowns.
What's the best case scenario now, given that we're in this situation? I'm not sure. I can't see any good way for this to end, or for us to muddle through. The economy is so unbalanced that taking
any action could make things even
worse. The only thing that is certain is that
FF/
PD simply aren't up to the job. They are the ones that got us into this mess, they have had 10 years in which to show their "leadership" qualities, they don't even realise that there is anything to be concerned about, or that there is any alternative policy to simple rampant gombeenism.
Radical surgery is needed. But nobody seems up to the job.