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Yeah, I am but Joe Higgins has the courage of his convictions (regardless of how wrong they are) and Eoin Ryan has a degree in flower arrangements.
Every one sees what you appear to be, few really know what you are, and those few dare not oppose themselves to the opinion of the many, who have the majesty of the state to defend them.
- [SIZE=2]Niccolò Machiavelli[/SIZE]
Yes it is - Joe Higgins will pull more transfers than MLM from McKenna and DeBurca.
The only question is how many votes DeRossa will need from MLM to get to the quota and how much that will inhibit Joe Higgins in catching Ryan.
Another key question is how many non-transferrable votes will MLM have.
DeRossa is currently 14,000 short of the quota. If he takes 7,000 from McKenna's and DeBurca's 44,000 then Joe Higgins should have plenty from MLM to overhaul Ryan. If DeRossa requires anything more than around 7,000 MLM then it will put the transfer to Joe Higgins tight. Joe Higgins will probably need about 15,000 more of MLM's votes than Ryan gets. MLM should ahve about 56,000+ by the time she is eliminated.