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About LinkBacksActually you'll find buachaill dana that this is a brand new poll, with differing results only out over the w/end. Compare and contrast.
Actually you'll find buachaill dana that this is a brand new poll, with differing results only out over the w/end. Compare and contrast.
I'll second that. Edie is a far better candidate than anyone on this board will giver her credit. FG will certainly be ahead of Labour in Rathmines and we will cerainly give FF a run for their money!Sorry people. I'm gonna stick my head on the block and say Wynne will not come last.
G'man Badboy. I not 100% sure how well Wynne will do but she'll be well in the running for the seat.
Economic Left/Right: -4.25 Social Libertarian/Authoritarian: -4.77
Regarding the SEIC poll if FF are at 23% then there'll be champagne corks popping in the party's HQ - no way are FF that high in SEIC, not even near. Bunce & keegan are fighting like hell here - I have no idea which of them is ahead, but the most either can hope for is the last seat after Doolan and Humphries are elected.
The key to the last seat with be where Doolan's surplus goes - I don't see much of it going FF's way - so FF may be fighting for that last seat. A good outside bet is for this to be one of areasb in Dub where FF end up with no seat at all.
In Rathmines both Lab and FG have big fights as to which candidate will take the seat. Wynne should be the fav for the FG seat and Freehill's whinging that lab HQ are trying to shaft her might give her the edge of uinn's nephew.
FF's O'Callaghan will do ok here, but Donnelly will see off the challenge fairly handy - O'Callaghan will need to get close to 1000 votes here if he is to run in the GE as FFHQ would like - he'll be lucky to break 700.
I have to say I was a bit dissapointed to see Delaney on 14% I would have thought that he would ahve been about 4% higher than Mark Henry, which raises the important question - where are Barry's votes coming from?[quote:2wvnof98]With respect Delaney on 14% ! No way !
Also I have it on good authority that Labour know its not a FF poll but are describing it as FG.
Daithi's and Kevin's result I'm inclined to believe in but must profess scepticism at the FF results to see Bunce polling ahead of Keegan whichever of these poll ahead of the other will wing it ... but Bunce ?
Is Barry attracting new votes to the party or is he poaching Delaneys and if so will they return when Barry is eliminated.
Secondly when was this poll taken - how long was Barry in the field. I think Barry actually believes that he can win a seat, whereas his sole role should be to push Delaney over the line. If he goes out of the way to try and over up the areas that Conor has been working so hard in for the last few years then you could end up with a spit FG vote and poor transfers would mean that the party would be farther away from a seat than ever.
However if Barry is raching out to a different constituency - he and any of those votes transfer to Delaney he will be well positioned.
Finally, FF have no election campaign in Dublin SE, no literature, no canvassing and sod all posters in Rathmines. I would not be suprised at all if their incumbent ouncillors get milled because if their work record over the last 2 months is anything to go by, they are actually non existent! [/quote:2wvnof98]
I'd take Delaney's 14% with a pinch of salt. Henry had the ward to himself last time and put out tons of quality literature. At best Delaney is on 10% I'd guess.
From what I'm hearing the momentum in FF is with Bunce as he has gotten Pearse St support getting funding for the area and he's on his second full-size poster already.
Shay Ryan will do better than last time. Ok he only got 79 votes but if he gets 200-300 first preferences he'll lower the Humphreys and Doolan vote. The independents will also cost them some 1st preferences. While Doolan can afford this, Humphreys can't. It is hard not to see Doolan topping the poll.
Dont think the Pds are making any impact and the Green vote will be down a good bit. I see it as 1 SF, 1 FF and Humphreys having to hold off Delaney for the last seat.
Micko - i think yuou'll find that those millions were already part of a package delivered by Eoin Ryan about two years ago - its just that they are beign brought forward with much fanfare! Ryan, Keegan and Bunce were all down at the launch Monday of last week.
Second fullsize posters ! But have you seen the first ? Whata disaster (and i believe he was told this by FF-HQ) small and all-pastel/soft colours - anyone in advertising will tell you that its the primary colours which catch the eye (i'm envious of Labour's appropriation of red myself).
Hi One here again after a bit of a gap - problem with my computer. The news from rathmines seems as you were, Donnelly, Freehill is Meade still next and what about the FG/PD/ Quinn battle.
SEIC: Surprised all the stuff about Humphreys in difficulty - hard to believe. Still think it must be Doolin, Humphreys and Keegan.
Pembroke: Andrews a cert, Hederman I am told is creeping up fast and Lacey or Creighton I am told are fighting for final. Any truth is any of these.
Hederman is indeed creeping up but she would have wanted to have taken a QBC on a good day with the wind behind her and all the lights being green in order to have moved into second place. I see it being Andrews, Lacey, Hederman/Creighton. I have heard though that Lacey is getting worried about his situation. Does anyone know if he had a ward office before?
jazziberryjam from what I know he isn't and he did.
