Dublin West by-election

[making waves]

Burton will not want Nulty to run and Higgins will not want Coppinger to run.

You are correct about Burton - however the Socialist Party does not operate on the basis of personal fiefdoms. Joe Higgins and the Socialist Party/ULA will run as good a campaign as possible to get Ruth Coppinger elected.

With FG/Lab on 55-60% in Dublin, it would take an extraordinary opposition candidate to beat them.

Depends on how much of the budget has been leaked (the €100 household charge will not help)

People seem to forget that Brian Lenihan Jr. (RIP) very nearly lost the by-election to fill his fathers seat, beating Joe Higgins by only 300 votes - and this was a time of huge FF popularity, when they were routinely at 45% in opinion polls

It was a straight-forward battle between personal sympathy of the Lenihans and an anti- water charges vote. I can't see anything approaching the same sympathy vote this time and water charges could well be the key issue again by the time of the by-election.

[TimBuckII]

ah there's a bit more to it than just personal votes.Some area's are just electorally left-wing or right-wing. How else can you explain the fact that the left do very well throughout Dublin but dreadfully in Connaught and Ulster. Personality does play a part but not as much as the demographics of the area.

Why would Joe Higgins not want Coppinger to run?

Sure there is but DW is not much more left wing as the poster said.

I still think Higgins give up the MEP seat to take the Dublin West when Coppinger would have taken and left Higgins to retake the MEP seat. Now they will lose the MEP seat. I can't help but think Higgins put himself first in the last election over the Party.

[hammer]

CRAG will take the seat.

Guaranteed

[Thekinghasnoclothes]

CRAG will take the seat.

Guaranteed

Who is CRAG?

[hammer]

Castleknock Residents Action Group.

[Stating the Obvious]

You are correct about Burton - however the Socialist Party does not operate on the basis of personal fiefdoms.

Is this the same Socialist Party that appointed Uncle Joe's right hand man as an MEP, ahead of Coppinger?

[Thekinghasnoclothes]

Castleknock Residents Action Group.

What are they moaning about?

[hammer]

What are they moaning about?

High rise in Castleknock Village.

[Thekinghasnoclothes]

High rise in Castleknock Village.

Who is pushing high rise on them?

[smitchy2]

I can’t see anything but the FG transfers electing the Labour candidate.
It is very unlikely that the socialist candidate would get much support from FF.

Only a celebrity candidate could throw this contest off course.