Beyond the issue of Gormley resigning, theres wider consequences for the Government and the public perception of it, coming out of the Greens swapshop.
Lets assume the reports are right. Gormley steps down to Super Junior - remaining at Cabinet. Cuffe goes to Environment, White replaces Sargent, Ryan remains in place. Gogarty gets nothing.
Cowen has O'Dea and Cullen - minimum - to replace. He probably won't go too much further than that as he doesn't want to precipitate a heave against his leadership by disgruntled ex-cabinet members.
If he does, It's O'Cuiv and Dept Community that is at risk. He may also chop up Arts, Sports and Tourism - with Tourism going to DETE, Arts to DCENR, Community, Rural & Sports to Environment, Gaeltacht to Taoiseachs - and forming two new Depts, for Public Service Reform and Recovery (I personally don't think this will happen - more likely Gormely will take a Junior role at Taoiseach/Finance for Public Service reform.. but it has been mooted).
Cowen loses one Junior Ministerial slot in this Green grab, he no doubt had in mind to salve some of the egos on the back benches. Of course, Cowen could simply say 'no'. Does anyone really see the Greens pulling out on an issue the public will view as utterly unimportant and self serving?
Which leads to public perception. The greens will be viewed, even if they think its unfair, as gombeens for this. It smacks, regardless of their motives, as jobs for the boys, cronyism, and the greens plumping up their pensions.
They have given FG & Lab an open goal and more moral high ground to hit them with. Kenny & Gilmore will exploit this, highlighting to the public the Ministerial pension issue, the plumping of nests and bring in the failed green cllrs appointments like Davidson, Burrell and the attempted job for deBurca as further examples of the greens losing their vaunted principles.
On the other hand, if they DON'T get what they want, the greens are going to look like fools. Gormley, as leader, has to be at cabinet. If Cowen decided tell them No, what could the greens do? They can't credibly pull out over this, they'd be a laughing stock and the grassroots would be livid for going, not on a matter of honour, but for what will be seen as cronyism...
The funny thing is, I dont think the greens really see the problem!
Cowen won't appreciate this at all... fun times.



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