CNC: 4 sitting TDs likely to be returned

[Rebelman]

POST EDITED TO REFLECT 100% of boxes open

100% boxes open

FF 35%

FG 28%

LAB 12%

GP 4%

SF 7%

SP 4%

WP 1%

OTHERS: 8%

FF vote is down considerably but Davy McCarthy Ind will transfer heavily to them (6 of the 8 is his)

KL should benefit strongly from assorted left wing transfers

[ManFromDelMonte]

Any chance of second FG seat here?

[locke]

Doubt it.

FF have almost two quotas and they won't take the Labour seat when you take into account the Green and SF transfers and the fact that the 28% is going to be skewed towards Bernard Allen.

[ManFromDelMonte]

any idea of the breakdown within the Fg vote

[Respvblica]

Was in City Hall this morning. I think Kelly should pick up transfers from some unlikely sources. And gone are the days when it was FF1,2 stop. I was surprised to see quite a few Kelleher 1stPrefs go on to Kelly.
Its gonna be a tall order but who knows

Who are the people who vote FF1, FF2, FG3, FG4? More than you would think.

[Dr McAdam-O'Connell]

and any idea of the FF breakdown?

Looking better for Chris O'Leary then I expected given their preformance around the country. I never though he had a chance and don't see him taking a seat but on thoes figures I can see him getting enough SP transfers to get ahead of SF and then picking up a lot of their transfers also. Won't be enough to get him ahead of Lynch though.

[jerryp]

Any chance of a breakdown of independents, or is it nearly all Davey Mac ?

[Dr McAdam-O'Connell]

Davey Mac is on 6 of the inds 8% according to the radio

[bridie]

any idea of the breakdown for fianna fail

[Helium Three]

Kelleher Allen Lynch O'Flynn (without reaching quota)