Speculation in Galway this evening is that former Mayor & FG front runner Cllr. Brian Walsh is to withdraw from the General election race for private family reasons. Outgoing TD Padraic McCormack may have to reconsider his decision to resign. I spoke to a source close to John Mulholland this evening and he (Mulholland) would not deny the rumour.
Without Walsh, and if McCormack decides he's too old to bother running again (he's what, 63?), FG could end up with no seat at all here!
Did anyone hear that muppet MJ Crowe on The Last Word yesterday? Babbling on about the need for a special tax on Buckfast
Je suis un loo-lah
Fg are in a big mess here if Walsh pulls out - and a return by McCormick might not save the seat (his vote has been in decline. I can see a lot of soft FG voters plumping for O'Brolochain
I wonder is that true. The transfer patterns in the TNS/MRBI TG4 poll show very few lower-preferences for the Greens from FG. Maybe they'll go to Higgins (Lab) instead or even PD. BTW FG is tearing itself apart and the election campaign isn't far away maybe we should have an early General Election so the govt can capitalise on the disarray in the Blueshirt ranks.Originally Posted by Decko
......or a second PD candidate. I have said it before....if things just happened to go our way we could see two seats here. Stranger things have happened. Tom Welby will run in Connemara, he is highly respected and is one hell of a worker. Welby in the West, Grealish in the East...watch this space.
And yes MJ Crowe is proving to be an embarrassing choice for FF.
I don't think running 2 candidates is at all wise in this constituency. The TNS/MRBI poll said that Grealish as the sole PD would get 9% probsably holding his seat. But an earlier IMS poll in the Mail on Sunday, assuming 2 candidates - Grealish and Donal Lyons - showed the PD vote still 9% but split with 6% for Grealish and 3% for Lyons, and with O'Brollcháin on 7% and the PDs far from certain of holding on. In that context I don't think a multi-candidate strategy would be wise this time because the Green challenge is more formidable - he was on 4% in 2002. 2 PD seats? I don't think that is realistic at all they were only able to do that since 1989 in Limerick East and that was when the PD vote there was 17%. The PD vote here in 2002 was 12.5%.
......or a second PD candidate. I have said it before....if things just happened to go our way we could see two seats here. Stranger things have happened. Tom Welby will run in Connemara, he is highly respected and is one hell of a worker. Welby in the West, Grealish in the East...watch this space.
And yes MJ Crowe is proving to be an embarrassing choice for FF.
Think this one through! :wink:
FG down to 2 candidates in Galway Westet another thread with a very misleading title. people obviously cant tell the difference between fact and speculationSpeculation in Galway this evening
"speculation" on here usually turns out to be false. the last big piece of speculation we had was that ahern had been ousted as ff leader that infamous night
BTW FG is tearing itself apart and the election campaign isn't far away maybe we should have an early General Election so the govt can capitalise on the disarray in the Blueshirt ranks.
"Elite - a small superior group; esp one that has a power out of proportion to its size." (Oxford English Dictionary)
The majority cannot therefore be the elite.
The "wipeout" thesis again. In spite of the PDs being on the same share of the vote - 4% - as in 2002 - the Blueshirts and other critics continue to spout this imminent-death mythology. They have been on 4-5% since 1989 and in that time have always been between 4 and 10 seats. So how you conclude that on 4%, they are "heading for wipeout" I fail to realise - other than the usual partisan propaganda from your desperate, divided and discredited party.
BTW FG is tearing itself apart and the election campaign isn't far away maybe we should have an early General Election so the govt can capitalise on the disarray in the Blueshirt ranks.
What about the rumours of Diarmuid Scully running as an Indo in Limerick East? Or the civil war in Louth over Mairead McGuinness' candidacy? Or the sniping between the 4 (!) Clare candidates? More united than in decades? Doesn't say much!
The fact that Brian Walsh has been very quiet in recent months tells me this could be true, but we'll wait and see. Since he's not running a very good campaign, him dropping out might be best. Yes, he's a good candidate on paper, but that means nothing if he's not getting out there canvassing, leafletting etc
Cllr Mulholland is the obvious replacement, and since he's in the South Ward that will hurt O'Brolchain and leaving Fahey/Crowe with more room in the east of the city.
Good for FF, good for FG- bad for the Greens
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