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This is a discussion on Business Post/Red C Poll 31/05 within the Elections forums, part of the General Discussion category on Politics.ie. Ganley was 5% in NW in the last Red C poll. Where's he now Rebelman?...
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| They have to be kept out of power for 10 years - that's the minimum time it will take for the leeches to abandon them and switch to whoever is in power. The U.S. system of only allowing a president 2 terms has a lot to recommend it. FF are the major party in the state and so are a reflection of the attitude of the majority who had no concern about corruption in 2007 so long as the partying could continue. Its incompetance, not corruption which people are punishing them for. |
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| FT take it easy now but someone has suggested they also indicate Ferris and Ganley making gains.
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| Not sure where he got this because it hasn't been indicated by those who provided the figures. |
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| Rebelman, who provided the figures, said that Ferris and Ganley have made progress.
__________________ Seabhcan on EU Enlargement and the Lisbon Treaty: "There is no shortage of cheap labour - Turkey isn't needed." |
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| I can tell you that the figures for the Euro Constituencies will not be published as The SBP do not beleive the sample sizes are big enough to hang their reputation on. However, they have picked up what some are calling a "big swing" to Ganley in the North West, with him picking up about 10% on where he was previously. Most party sources believe Ganley is on about 16% and rising and the RED C poll seems to confirm this. The key for Ganley will be momentum in the final week - if he can finish in the top 3 with 17-18% most observers agree that he will be safe enough. However, the Irish Times poll showing him stalling cannot be discounted, and we will have to wait and see on this one. In South, I'm told the increase in the Ferris vote makes up for much of the overall 3% national swing to Sinn Fein, and that she has moved into the "top tier" of candidates alongside Sinnott and Kelly. This is good news for Sinnott if she can stay ahead of Ferris, and curtains for Kelly as it is generally assumed that Ferris will benefit Sinnott when she goes out. In Dublin, Fianna Failers are now certain that Ryan is a gonner. As in dead and buried. They are also worried about East, and feel that polls in NW are vastly overstating their vote. I know one FF staffer who has put €500 on the party returning ony one MEP. Still too early to say, but Euro polls are notoriously unrelaible. In NW, the relentless attacks on Ganley should be seen as a real indicator of how worried the parties are about him. Notice how none of them have attacked McLochlainn - they don't fear him, but they do think Ganley is a threat for a seat. But we'll see. |
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