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Business Post/Red C Poll 31/05

This is a discussion on Business Post/Red C Poll 31/05 within the Elections forums, part of the General Discussion category on Politics.ie. Ganley was 5% in NW in the last Red C poll. Where's he now Rebelman?...

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  #61 (permalink)  
Old 30th May 2009
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Ganley was 5% in NW in the last Red C poll. Where's he now Rebelman?
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Old 30th May 2009
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kf View Post
Red C poll the same people all the time?

I never knew that. Surely though that those 1,000 people become less representative as they, I would imagine, spend more time thinking of who they wil vote for, reading about politics and policies and in general slow morph into unrepresentative political nerds.
ignore that comment by me, I must have been out in the sun too much today and they do use different people not like I suggested above.
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Old 30th May 2009
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Lol what the hell
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Old 30th May 2009
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Digout View Post
We have to continue until the party is disbanded and their corruption networks are decommissioned.
They have to be kept out of power for 10 years - that's the minimum time it will take for the leeches to abandon them and switch to whoever is in power. The U.S. system of only allowing a president 2 terms has a lot to recommend it. FF are the major party in the state and so are a reflection of the attitude of the majority who had no concern about corruption in 2007 so long as the partying could continue. Its incompetance, not corruption which people are punishing them for.
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Old 30th May 2009
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FT take it easy now but someone has suggested they also indicate Ferris and Ganley making gains.
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Old 30th May 2009
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Originally Posted by KingKane View Post
FT take it easy now but someone has suggested they also indicate Ferris and Ganley making gains.
Not sure where he got this because it hasn't been indicated by those who provided the figures.
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Old 30th May 2009
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Originally Posted by Kerrygold View Post
Not sure where he got this because it hasn't been indicated by those who provided the figures.
Rebelman, who provided the figures, said that Ferris and Ganley have made progress.
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Old 30th May 2009
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SamVimesBoots View Post
Then who are these people? And what is wrong with them?

Is it simply the case that 20% of the population are retarded and/or psychologically disturbed? "My tribe right or wrong" only goes so far, after all events of the last year surely the fact that the current FF party is completely useless must start bleeding through the concrete skull of even the most dedicated follower?
Important point to note. Only 50% of people vote. So in fact only 10% of the population support FF. Two groups keep them in power. Those who vote for them and those who don't vote at all.
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Old 30th May 2009
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Originally Posted by Craiced View Post
Important point to note. Only 50% of people vote. So in fact only 10% of the population support FF. Two groups keep them in power. Those who vote for them and those who don't vote at all.
Only those who vote count. Mind over matter. If you don't mind you don't matter.
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Old 30th May 2009
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I can tell you that the figures for the Euro Constituencies will not be published as The SBP do not beleive the sample sizes are big enough to hang their reputation on.

However, they have picked up what some are calling a "big swing" to Ganley in the North West, with him picking up about 10% on where he was previously. Most party sources believe Ganley is on about 16% and rising and the RED C poll seems to confirm this. The key for Ganley will be momentum in the final week - if he can finish in the top 3 with 17-18% most observers agree that he will be safe enough. However, the Irish Times poll showing him stalling cannot be discounted, and we will have to wait and see on this one.

In South, I'm told the increase in the Ferris vote makes up for much of the overall 3% national swing to Sinn Fein, and that she has moved into the "top tier" of candidates alongside Sinnott and Kelly. This is good news for Sinnott if she can stay ahead of Ferris, and curtains for Kelly as it is generally assumed that Ferris will benefit Sinnott when she goes out.

In Dublin, Fianna Failers are now certain that Ryan is a gonner. As in dead and buried. They are also worried about East, and feel that polls in NW are vastly overstating their vote. I know one FF staffer who has put €500 on the party returning ony one MEP.

Still too early to say, but Euro polls are notoriously unrelaible. In NW, the relentless attacks on Ganley should be seen as a real indicator of how worried the parties are about him. Notice how none of them have attacked McLochlainn - they don't fear him, but they do think Ganley is a threat for a seat.

But we'll see.
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