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This is a discussion on Let's discuss the Rogoff solution within the Economy forums, part of the Issues category on Politics.ie. Harvard Prof Kenneth Rogoff has a bold and interesting suggestion: Originally Posted by Kenneth Rogoff “It would be positively healthy ...
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| Harvard Prof Kenneth Rogoff has a bold and interesting suggestion: Quote:
The notion of departing the Euro has one big monster objection: it's impossible because our debts are all in €. Rogoff's implication is that we should have a situation where the underwater economies temporarily leave the €. But their debts would continue to be serviced while they are out of the currency. Either from the existing $1trillion fund or a new one. They would then devalue, perhaps to a € currency peg with €1 = 10 drachmas, for example. Like Argentina's monster devaluation in 2002, this would lead to a huge economic expansion in the devalued nations. Ireland, Portugal and Greece would be able to run big, structural budget surpluses year after year. As a result, we would be welcome into the Euro fold within 5 to 6 years. Let's discuss the possibilities.
__________________ When you see the words "Mises" or "Hayek" in someone's post, just ask yourself: do I really want to ban paper money and go back to gold? You have to pity the kind of people who buy into conspiracy theories. I find the following to be the saddest words on the internet: "Re: connection between Bilderberg puppet lady gaga and viral outbreak in ukraine " |
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| Depends how much the economy expands while we're out of the euro.
__________________ When you see the words "Mises" or "Hayek" in someone's post, just ask yourself: do I really want to ban paper money and go back to gold? You have to pity the kind of people who buy into conspiracy theories. I find the following to be the saddest words on the internet: "Re: connection between Bilderberg puppet lady gaga and viral outbreak in ukraine " |
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| Feldstein advocated this a while back The Irish Economy Blog Archive A Bonzer Wheeze, by Martin Feldstein Quote:
cYp
__________________ "Yawn , am I alive yet ?" |
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| Quote:
You might like the current near-zero interest rates, but that comes with a price: below-zero growth rates.
__________________ When you see the words "Mises" or "Hayek" in someone's post, just ask yourself: do I really want to ban paper money and go back to gold? You have to pity the kind of people who buy into conspiracy theories. I find the following to be the saddest words on the internet: "Re: connection between Bilderberg puppet lady gaga and viral outbreak in ukraine " |
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| is it unworkable for any reason, or just because you don't like it?
__________________ When you see the words "Mises" or "Hayek" in someone's post, just ask yourself: do I really want to ban paper money and go back to gold? You have to pity the kind of people who buy into conspiracy theories. I find the following to be the saddest words on the internet: "Re: connection between Bilderberg puppet lady gaga and viral outbreak in ukraine " |
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| Quote:
There's no clearly thought-out objection to this. Though it's true that this would cause some short-term pain for countries still in the Eurozone. Greece and Portugal would siphon away investment from Germany. Opening and running a factory in Lisbon would be massively cheaper than one in Berlin. However, there is a silver lining: when Portugal returns to EMU with a big budget surplus, what Teutonic nation will they be paying that surplus to? No prizes for guessing. The alternative: do nothing and let Greece and Portugal and our good selves default, taking with it the entire German banking system. Result, 5 million German jobs destroyed and not replaced. This plan has a certain odour of inevitability about it. Every other possible option is much worse for Germany (let alone everybody else) by a long distance.
__________________ When you see the words "Mises" or "Hayek" in someone's post, just ask yourself: do I really want to ban paper money and go back to gold? You have to pity the kind of people who buy into conspiracy theories. I find the following to be the saddest words on the internet: "Re: connection between Bilderberg puppet lady gaga and viral outbreak in ukraine " |
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| Quote:
The Irish Economy Blog Archive Leaving the Euro cYp
__________________ "Yawn , am I alive yet ?" |
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